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View Diary: Center-Left Democrats Win Japan Election (Updated) (19 comments)

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  •  You're right (1+ / 0-)
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    lazybum

    that this is massive. It is a staggering defeat for the LDP.

    I hope you're right that this will be a new era for Japan. I think we may have to wait and see how different the DPJ is. A lot of people in Japan expect it to be about the same as the LDP. My guess is that there will be modest changes in foreign policy and slightly more progressive domestic policy.

    In either case, the next few months should be interesting.

    •  I don't think many policies will change (4+ / 0-)
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      sny, lazybum, wblynch, procrastinator john

      A lot of this is blowback for Koizumi's neoliberalist agenda from 2001-2006, which was then followed by an incompetent attempt by the LDP to return to its corporatist pork barrelling roots. They had 3 prime ministers since 2006. It doesn't matter what country you live in, you can't run a government like that.

      In terms of policy, the DPJ won basically on a platform the LDP would have usually embraced at the height of it's power pre-1990 - notably the protection and advancement of a big welfare state.

      What has really changed for Japan is that the people have discovered that they can change their government, given the offering of a viable alternative. This will have enormous consequences for the advancement democracy, the development of policy and, in the long term, will lead to better governance in Japan and renewal in that country. It will also have big consequences for the region.

      Exciting times.

      •  Sounds about right (0+ / 0-)

        In terms of policy, there probably won't be anything dramatically different. Radical changes would upset A LOT of voters.

        But I think you're right on the money when you say that the Japanese people have figured out they can change their government. If nothing else it should help to reduce corruption in the government.

        As for the LDP putting up 3 prime ministers in the past 3 years, that was a sure sign that the party was starting to fragment because of internal differences. Koizumi tried to take the party in a new direction, and a lot of the old timers did not want to go there. Fukuda, the prime minister before Aso, quit abruptly when he completely lost patience with younger members of the LDP who were causing a lot of problems and not cooperating. The collapse of the LDP has been a long time in coming, but the past 3 years have been surprisingly bad, with a lot of really serious differences within the LDP.

    •  How Much Control (0+ / 0-)

      Will a new government have over the ministries -- MoF, Band of Japan, etc?  This is the real permanent government of Japan and the ministries are larded with people committed to doing things the same old way.  What power will the DPJ have to change that?

      This aggression will not stand, man.

      by kaleidescope on Sun Aug 30, 2009 at 07:25:37 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

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