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View Diary: On Obama's "Dive In the Polls" And 2010 (222 comments)

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  •  Yep, You Are Right - (0+ / 0-)

    How about -
    Alabama 02 - R+16
    Alabama 05 - R+12
    Idaho 01 - R+18
    Lousiana 03 - R+12
    Maryland 01 - R+13
    Mississippi 01 - R+14

    And those are just the double-digit ones,
    I believe, all with frosh representatives.

    There are plenty of districts with a GOP PVI between 5 and 9.
    There are very few districts with a DEM PVI greater than 5 represented by Republicans.
    Delaware AL - D+7
    Illinois 10 - D+6

    Take a look at the PVI (Partisan Voting Index) for all the congressional districts.  The Dems will be defending far more Republican districts than vice versa.

    There are also a handful of mostly Southern districts with GOP PVIs greater than 10 but that have incumbent Democrats who have held the seats for some time.  These are not at risk.

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