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  •  No, actually. (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    blueyedace2, neroden

    Corzine is likely to beat the GOPer, despite his own negatives.

    (This, incidentally, is a frequent pattern in Jersey politics. Where polls will show a close race and then, at the end of the day, the Democrat pulls it out....Whitman beating Florio being a very notable exception).

    Policies that were wrong under George W. Bush are no less wrong because Barack Obama is in the White House. - Bob Herbert

    by GreenSooner on Wed Oct 28, 2009 at 03:05:10 PM PDT

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    •  Corzine will only win due Dagget getting 20% (0+ / 0-)

      Corzine might win but only because third party Dagget will take votes from Christie.

      Since most of the Dagget voters are GOP voters, the more likely scenario is they vote for Christie and he wins.

      If GOP were the "damaged brand" portrayed, you would not see extremist GOP'ers like Christie and McDonnell winning on blue states like NJ and VA.

      McDonnell is the best example since VA is true swing state and McDonnell is such an extremist right wing candidate.

      The party ID/brand is simply meaningless.

      •  Daggett's Taking Votes from Christie... (0+ / 0-)

        ...but I don't think that makes his supporters GOP voters.

        Daggett got the endorsement of the Sierra Club, hardly a GOP stronghold.

        What Daggett voters are is anti-Corzine voters ... but clearly they don't want to vote for the GOP.

        Policies that were wrong under George W. Bush are no less wrong because Barack Obama is in the White House. - Bob Herbert

        by GreenSooner on Wed Oct 28, 2009 at 03:50:20 PM PDT

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    •  Actually... (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      neroden

      The historical trend of the past several ELECTED governors of New Jersey going back 32 years is this:

      Byrne (D) - twice elected
      Kean (R) - twice elected
      Florio (D) - once elected
      Whitman (R) - twice elected
      McGreevey (D) - once elected
      Corzine (D) - once elected

      The state leans Democratic, but it isn't absolutely set in stone.

      That said, I think Corzine pulls it off in the end, by a hair.

      •  I agree (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        neroden

        primarily because of the combination of Dagget and and Chrisie's failure to provide specifics. In this last regard Christie is a microcosm of the national GOP.

        Healthcare is a human right, not a commodity.

        by nomorerepukes on Wed Oct 28, 2009 at 03:35:29 PM PDT

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