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View Diary: The Untold Reason Why Unemployment Won't Go Down Before the 2010 Midterms (152 comments)

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  •  I doubt we are going to see a 1994 level change.. (0+ / 0-)

    ...however, this, in my opinion, is spot on:

    Ironically, there's one person who stand to benefit politically from a devastating Democratic defeat in 2010...and that's Barack Obama ironically enough.  With the public's "outrage" at Democrats out of their system next year, his re-election prospects would greatly improve for many of the same reasons that Bill Clinton's did as soon as Newt Gingrich took over Congress in 1994.  

    Exactly. And, if the GOP gets control of congress next year, they can no longer blame everything on Obama....they will have a steak in governing.

    The best case scenario for the GOP, I think, will be to pick up a significant number of seats next year, but not regain control of congress. That will allow them to continue to blame the dems for all the countries ills, and will sets the stage for a complete GOP takeover in 2012.

    And you're right...the best case scenario for President Obama is a GOP takeover of congress next year.  Allows him to run against them in 2012, as Clinton did in 1996.  

    The real losers under about any scenario are congressional dems.  Who frankly deserve everything that is coming their way.

    I am that gadfly which God has attached to the state, and all day long and in all places...arousing and persuading and reproaching you.-Socrates

    by The Navigator on Sun Nov 15, 2009 at 09:00:49 PM PST

    •  That scenario is also great for Republicans (0+ / 0-)

      Reelecting Obama in 2012 would essentially give Republicans a lock on Congress as Clinton's reelection did for the GOP in the 1990's.  The Republicans would have majority where they could pass whatever they wanted and Obama will likely sign it.  If Democrats go in 2010, Obama has to also go in 2012 if Democrats are going to survive.  Aim for 2014 as the comeback year.  

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