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View Diary: Keeping Obama's Senate Seat Blue! Introductory Blog by Democrat David Hoffman (129 comments)

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  •  You, Alexi and Mark Kirk (6+ / 0-)


    I'm very concerned about how strong a candidate Mark Kirk will be in the fall.  What makes you think you could do any better of a job in the election than Alexi?

    •  from his mailing list (11+ / 0-)

      in a solicitation for donations I got from his email list on Nov. 23:

      In the last few days, much has been made of an internal poll we conducted. Geoff Garin, our pollster and long-time advisor to Senator Durbin, shows in a polling memo that in a general election Alexi Giannoulias loses to Mark Kirk by 17 points, and I beat Kirk by 5 points.

      •  Now THAT (5+ / 0-)

        is impressive.

      •  Hmm... Garin-Hart-Yang has a good (3+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        blueyedace2, edwardssl, iBlue

        reputation. However, I'm a bit surprised that there's such a huge difference between the candidates at such an early stage in the race.

        In the public PPP poll in April Giannoulias' favorables were at 39/21 with 40% unknown. Maybe this FOXNews special report on his affiliations with Rezko etc. has upped the unfavorables a bit, but I doubt it's enough to let him trail by such a huge amount.

        And I strongly doubt that David Hoffman's name recognition statewide breaks even 15% right now. So, right now Hoffman is for General Election polls not that much different from 'Generic Democrat'- and the same is to a lesser extent true for Gianoullias- he is not as well liked as for example Lisa Madigan, but not hated like Burris or Blagojevich- an average politician. So why the hell this 22-point discrepancy?

        But well, internal polls that get released to the public are obviously always very favorable to the candidate who commissioned the poll, so this is not all that surprising.

      •  Polls (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:

        As the Hill reported, our poll has revealed much different results:

        Illinois state Treasurer Alexi Giannoulias (D) leads Rep. Mark Kirk (R-Ill.) by three points, 46-43, in an internal poll in their Senate race.

        The Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research poll also shows former Chicago Inspector General David Hoffman (D) trailing Kirk 48-39.

        Kirk and Giannoulias have polled close to each other in the general election, but surveys have been sparse to this point.

        Giannoulias’s poll shows him with a favorability rating of more than two-to-one.

        •  Oh well, internal polls... (2+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          blueyedace2, virginwoolf

          But this early in the cycle poll results are mostly a function of name recognition, and I think that Alexi as a statewide elected official has a higher name rec than David, so this result looks more likely to me.

          Not that it matters this far out anyway, if David were to win the primary, his name recognition would increase in an instant and his polling deficit disappear.

        •  Tom or whoever is manning the computer (5+ / 0-)

          As you know, the poll you are referring to is happening before any ads hit and every poll thus far has reflected that 50% remain undecided.  Given the head start that your candidate had and his considerable higher name ID, it should be of grave concern to you that so many people are not willing to support your candidate.

          What the polls clearly show is that Alexi's negatives are devastating and that should be a concern for any Democrat reading this blog who cares about keeping a 60-seat majority in the United States Senate.

          There is a reason that David Axelrod and others are concerned abouut losing Obama's former senate seat.

          To be clear, I work for David Hoffman for U.S. Senate.

          Want change? Keep working and screen your candidates well!

          by John Laesch on Mon Dec 07, 2009 at 04:42:51 PM PST

          [ Parent ]

          •  Hi John (0+ / 0-)

            Georgia here (georgia10, we chatted a bit back during your campaign).  

            As you know, many people are indeed willing to support Alexi, as non-campaign polls show and as our list of endorsements demonstrates.  That list of endorsers includes such progressive leaders as U.S. Rep. Jan Schakwosky, Cook County Commissioner Forrest Claypool and U.S. Rep. Mike Quigley.  

            Additionally, the hard-working families of labor organizations across the state have stood behind Alexi, just as he has stood behind them in fighting to save Illinois jobs.  

            We've been endorsed by SEIU (which, bizarrely, the Hoffman campaign attacked with GOP talking points), the Illinois Federation of Teachers as well as almost two dozen other unions.

            Also, given that both candidates are now on air, we are confident that as voters get to know both candidates, support for Alexi will continue to grow.

            As an aside to readers, this is our new ad:

            •  Ah yes... 2006... (2+ / 0-)
              Recommended by:
              n0madic, modestybl

              Georgia 10,

              First of all, let me just say that I look forward to working on the same team again when we can both say we are fighting for a solid progressive – perhaps the general election:)

              Ah yes... 2006!  We were both dipping our toes into progressive politics and DailyKos... fighting for Big D Democracy... You have to admit that there is some irony in the fact that you were on the cover of the Chicago Reader the month before I graced the cover.  At least nobody here is going to start trashing the Chicago Reader!

              Look, everybody here, including myself, respects your work and I will admit that, while it is a good move by our opponent to hire an "insider Kossack," I look forward to having you back in the scrum, fighting for democracy.  So, instead of moving to the next frame that includes me talking about your list of insider endorsements and David Hoffman’s outsider credentials, let’s move on to something a bit more interesting...  

              After a computer crash and a long train ride home without a laptop, I got to thinking.  It really would be great to get a DKOS debate together in Chicago or somewhere else in this great state!  Clearly we have established that the debate is going to happen whenever one or the other posts here – may as well make it official.

              There is an expressed willingness from Team Hoffman, and, in this diary your team has indicated the same willingness to debate.  You probably have the connections to pull off something pretty snazzy from the KOS site management team.  It would be cool!

              With your KOS insider connections, I am sure that you could amass quite an on-line cheering section for your candidate and with my "outsider grassroots organizing skills," I could probably put enough folks in an auditorium.  I assume you have complete confidence in your candidates’ ability to debate and we feel very good that David is ready for prime time.

              So, in the name of BIG-D Democracy, what do you say?  I think that it would really put DailyKos on the front page of the Chicago papers and even create some buzz in the beltway press if we can get this done early.

              Until the next round...

              John Laesch

              Want change? Keep working and screen your candidates well!

              by John Laesch on Mon Dec 07, 2009 at 11:37:06 PM PST

              [ Parent ]

            •  Georgia... (1+ / 0-)
              Recommended by:

              I have a lot of respect for you, but I am really disappointed that Alexi endorsed the escalation of the war in Afghanistan.  Even Durbin who is a very close friend of Obama did not do that.  Big mistake.

    •  Compare the records (16+ / 0-)

      We need a candidate in the general election who takes the corruption issue off the table, and who has sufficient experience, judgment, and maturity to take on Mark Kirk and be effective in the Senate.  I am 42, a father, a husband, and have been in public service for 16 years.  I have served in all three branches of the federal government, in leadership positions in the Justice Department and in the fight to clean up government in Chicago and Illinois.  I have no connections whatsoever to Rod Blagojevich, Tony Rezko, or any of the other insider political players that my former colleagues in the U.S. Attorney's Office had to spend so much time investigating.  And I have been proud to lead the fight on behalf of regular people against the insiders who abuse power by handing out the benefits of government to the clouted and connected.  
      There is a clear experience gap when my record is placed side by side with my opponent's, and I firmly believe that my public service experience will make me an effective, independent voice of the people in the Senate.  

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