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View Diary: MA-Sen: Ten Days of Scott Brown (237 comments)

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  •  Nope, however... (0+ / 0-)

    They are almost never, and I do mean NEVER, wrong.

    When people put money on the line, they tend to let their inner most beliefs guide it. When lots of people put money on the line, those beliefs coalesce into a cumulative prediction that's more accurate than even a poll. It's a model that has predicted political winners with frightening accuracy for years now.

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