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View Diary: The 2010 Comprehensive Daily Kos/Research 2000 Poll of Self-Identified Republicans (720 comments)

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  •  It should be (2+ / 0-)
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    Texas Blue Dot, Larsstephens

    obvious that the population of all Republicans in the United States and the population of all Republicans in the U.S. House of Representatives are not the same thing. Some House districts that have more Republicans than Democrats are represented by a Democrat. Likewise, some districts that have more Democrats than Republicans are represented by a Republican. Just because 44% of all Republicans in the House of Representatives come from the South, does not mean that 44% of all Republicans in the United States live in the South.

    Second, referring to the second part of your response, you misread what I wrote. I did not say to weight the poll in any direction. I questioned whether this poll itself is weighted in favor of Republicans from the South. When you conduct a poll like this, you start with a population, and then draw a sample from that population and poll the sample. In this poll, the population should be all Republicans in the United States. Then a sample should be drawn from that population, which should be representative of the population.

    If 42% of the sample comes from 12 Southern states, then approximately 42% of all Republicans in the United States should also come from those 12 Southern states. Do you think 42% of all Republicans in the United States live in just the states of Virginia, North Carolina, South Carolina, Georgia, Florida, Alabama, Tennessee, Kentucky, Mississippi, Louisiana, Arkansas, and Texas? That would mean that close to a majority of all Republicans in the entire country live in the South. I'm not saying it's not true. I'm saying I would like to see the data. What about all the Republicans who live in places like Orange County, California and suburban New Jersey?

    Critics are going to point these things out. Research 2000 and/or Daily Kos should disclose more information about their data collection and sampling methods.

    •  You know, I have no hard data (1+ / 0-)
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      but I'm inclined to believe it's true.

      Texas is the only place I've lived in the inner city and ever run into this many Republican voters.

      Again, wholly and completely anecdotal on my part; an interesting criticism you raise, though.

      "I hope they'll know that fools with megaphones or runny mouths just don't count." - Donal Og Cusack

      by Texas Blue Dot on Tue Feb 02, 2010 at 01:21:38 PM PST

      [ Parent ]

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