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View Diary: Polling and Political Wrap-Up, 4/10/10 (56 comments)

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  •  Even if it's Ras... (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Rolfyboy6, Scarce, citizenx

    I thought Hodes would be a much stronger candidate. I mean seriously he's getting blown out by Ayotte and Binnie.    

    Politics is like playing Asteroids - You go far enough to the left and you end up on the right. Or vice-versa.

    by Jonze on Sat Apr 10, 2010 at 05:28:19 PM PDT

    •  It's ridiculous (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Jonze

      Ayotte is not the libertarian-type Repug NH'ers like.  Maybe MissLaura can give us some insight into why Hodes is doing so badly.

      "Valerie, why am I getting all these emails calling me a classless boor?"

      by TLS66 on Sat Apr 10, 2010 at 05:30:38 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  Hodes was never a very strong candidate (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Jonze

      He was washed in by the 2006 wave.  A lot of times when these wave winners try and move up or run for reelection, they get washed back out when the political environment returns to normal or goes the other way.  

    •  Another one of those "running away from DC (3+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Rolfyboy6, Egalitare, Jonze

      ..and the President's agenda" types who've run a lackluster campaign.

      Ayotte will be whatever the wingnuts want her to be.

      Here we are now Entertain us I feel stupid and contagious

      by Scarce on Sat Apr 10, 2010 at 05:34:32 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  The poll isn't believable. (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Jonze

      Yeah, I know how weak that sounds.

      But really: nobody has ever heard of Binney except for TV ads this year.

      And Lynch will once again win with about 62-67 percent.

      •  That must mean it's anti-Hodes... (0+ / 0-)

        Is there somebody other than Hodes who could run that doesn't have as many negatives?  Maybe somebody who is charismatic and could excite the base a bit?

        Politics is like playing Asteroids - You go far enough to the left and you end up on the right. Or vice-versa.

        by Jonze on Sat Apr 10, 2010 at 07:13:01 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  No. (1+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          Jonze

          The three plausible Dem candidates were Hodes, Shea-Porter, and Governor Lynch.

          Shea-Porter's poll numbers are no better than Hodes. Lynch has said he won't run for Senate - and I suspect progressives would revolt if he did.

          And no, my point isn't "the public wants anybody but Hodes." My point is, the Ras poll is broken.

          •  So are you saying... (0+ / 0-)

            ...Hodes has a shot?

            Because damn, I was really hoping to be putting up more of a challenge in NH....

            "If these Republicans can't stand up to Rush, how can they stand up to the Iranians?" - Redmond Barry

            by xsonogall on Sat Apr 10, 2010 at 11:22:23 PM PDT

            [ Parent ]

            •  Yes, I think he has a pretty good shot. (0+ / 0-)

              All the Republican candidates are weak and getting weaker. And there's a fair chance of a nasty primary among them between now and September.

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