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View Diary: Who I am Voting for in the PA Primary...and Why (39 comments)

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  •  I'd love to agree with you about Sestak... (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    flhiii88

    but I just can't. Unfortunately, Darlin' Arlen is all that separates us from Santorum, the Sequel.

    If you could show me tangible evidence -- say, a poll -- that shows me that Sestak has a better chance of prevailing in November against Toomey, then I'll gladly vote for Sestak in the primary.

    I agree with you on Onorato, though. To be honest, I think Corbett's going to be tough to beat. As a Pennsylvanian, you know we like to switch between parties every eight years for governor. Well, it's the GOP's turn.

    •  Don't do polls.... (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      joanneleon, qwertyuiop

      I read polls, but I don't find them to be accurate this far out, and I make my decisions in SPITE of polls, and I have a pretty good track record.

      Here's the thing: if you look at who voted for Specter in the past, you'll find a solid mixture of Ds, Rs and others. He came a hair from getting trounced by Toomey in the last primary, and THOSE people will be out again, and not for Specter. And remember, that was a presidential year when turnout was much higher than it will be this year. A lot of people who voted for Specter in '04 will be staying home.

      If you look at the polls (you could use Pollster) you'll see that while Toomey beats both D candidates, the spread of his win is closing relative to Specter v Sestak. Arlen had had double digit leads over Sestak, but that has narrowed to 6 points since the ads started running. There is no reason to assume that Sestak won't also have better numbers against Toomey once it becomes a 2 man race, and he gets more name recognition.

      One of the other things about Specter is that he's begun to question his change to the Democratic Party. http://www.demconwatchblog.com/...

      My greatest concern about him is that he wins, and then switches back. It wouldn't be the first time -- that's EXACTLY what he did in 1965.

      I'm voting for an actual Democrat.

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