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View Diary: The Iraq Election: Defining Success (489 comments)

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  •  Quick math... (none)
    72%... no, wait, about 60%!

    Ok, so what's that say?  Well, we expected that the Sunnis wouldn't vote in large numbers.  So... say maybe only 25%?  (It can't be too low since the spin is that Sunnis turned out "more than expected").

    25% of 20% (the Sunni Arab part of the population, roughly) is 5%. If the Kurds and Shiites turned out in equivalent numbers... their collective 80% of the population accounted for 55% of the national population voting.  That's a turnout of about 69%.

    Not bad (superb by American standards... </snark>) but hardly an overwhelming turnout.  

    But if there really was better than expected Sunni turnout, then it suggests that the boycotts by the Sadrists (etc) must have really hurt.

    O it is excellent to have a giant's strength; but it is tyrannous To use it like a giant--Shakespeare, Measure for Measure, Act II

    by ogre on Sun Jan 30, 2005 at 09:33:32 AM PST

    [ Parent ]

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