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View Diary: U.S. Encouraged by Vietnam Vote (NYT 9/4/1967) (274 comments)

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  •  However (none)
    As you point out the Sunni regions did not participate. That means a whole swathe of the country not involved, and of course the Kurds wanting autonomy of their region which includes towns with Sunni majorities and the Shia wanting control of the whole country will lead to stability. Actually very similar to the farce in S. Vietnam
    •  Response (none)
      With respect to the sunni regions, turnout was not as high as it was in the Shiite or Kurdish areas no question.  I have read that turnout was approximately 40%, which is comparable to what you would see in a midterm election here in the US.
      •  Wait and see (none)
        I think your 40% in the Sunni region is a bit high. The estimates for Fallujah were well under 10%.
        •  I think 40% is probably way too high (none)
          but I still don't see the parallel with Vietnam.

          In Vietnam, about the only segments of the population not overwhelmingly sympathetic to the nationalist/communist vietcong were the franco-phone catholics and the montagnards.

          By contrast, in Iraq today, only a small minority IS partial to the insurgency.  

          In April and May of 04, it looked like the adminisration's chickens were coming home to roost.  But that time ended.  They have lucked out thus far, and we get nowhere saying things are worse than they are.

          The large swaths of country you refer to are mostly desert.  The largest population areas held safe elections yesterday.  All those silly reports the read "sure, only of4 provinces are unsafe for the election -- BUT THEY'RE THE 4 PROVINCES WITH A MAJORITY OF THE PEOPLE" depended on counting Baghdad itself as unsafe.  But even prior to the election, it was clear that much of Baghdad would vote.  That turned out to be true.  Violence was not an impediment to voting in the capital yesterday.  

      •  40% is just a bush/allawi number (none)
        we have no idea what the turnout was yet

        "...their freedom is inextricably bound to our freedom" MLK

        by jethropalerobber on Mon Jan 31, 2005 at 02:47:02 PM PST

        [ Parent ]

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