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View Diary: MO-Sen: Dems suffering from intensity gap (246 comments)

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  •  SoS ≠ Senator (0+ / 0-)

    Robin is quite talented. And yes, she was elected to her current position by the most votes ever for an SoS.

    But voters have much less interest and are much less divided by partisan loyalties on lower-statewide offices. In a high-profile, nationalized Senate race in a conservative state in a GOP year -- well, I'd venture to say her electoral successes as SoS don't matter much.

    Again, in any other year, she'd be favored. She'd have easily won in '08. She'd have won in '06 by more than McCaskill. And even if she loses, she'll probably stick around and get elected governor or senator in 2016 or 2018. But this year?

    Now, statewide races in Missouri tend to be quite close. So yes, I expect it close to a 3-4 point race or closer. And YES, she MAY win, especially given what a corrupt sleazebag Roy Blunt is. We should be glad that he muscled Jim Talent out of the race, because Talent would be a much stronger candidate for the Republicans. (Yes, he lost in '06, but he doesn't really evoke the kind of negative passions Blunt does.)

    But I'm not optimistic, just given the political climate.

    •  I live in MO (0+ / 0-)

      and I'm telling you that you are somewhat being overly pessimistic.

      Blunt is going full nuts here with ads blasting Caranhan as a 'rubber stamp for the Reid-Pelosi-Obama agenda' and his decesion to not vote for state aid is not helping not with the firefighters and police I know. And that's what both sides of my family are.

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