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View Diary: MO-Sen: Dems suffering from intensity gap (246 comments)

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  •  Playing around with the raw data: (0+ / 0-)

    Crosstabs for people who see both Carnahan AND Blunt unfavorably:
    (raw count)
    Blunt 29
    Undecided 16
    one of the two small party candidates (I don't know who's 4 and who's 5) 11
    Carnahan 9
    other small candidate 8

    (percentages)

    Blunt 40%
    Undecided 22%
    Third-Party Dude 1 15%
    Carnahan 12%
    Third-Party Dude 2 11%.

    Since both third-parties Dudes are right-wingers, those 26% of people who hate both will more likely come home to Blunt than to Carnahan, I think.

    Support Dennis McDonald and Montana Democrats in the 2010 election!

    by twohundertseventy on Tue Aug 17, 2010 at 10:04:11 AM PDT

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