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View Diary: Perhaps Dems aren't so doomed in 2010 (222 comments)

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  •  Better than that. I am (8+ / 0-)

    personally convinced this is a huge roadblock that if cleared will give the progressive movement A LOT of daylight in the years ahead.

    (Mostly demographic changes that are seeing the rightists dying out).

    •  I think that, if the GOP fails to take back (9+ / 0-)

      the majority in either chamber, there will be a civil war between the teabaggers and the establishment goons that eventually breaks the back of the republican coalition.  Add in those demographic shifts and we could see a lasting and significant democratic electoral advantage and an Overton window that finally moves significantly to the left.

      Picture a bright blue ball just spinnin' spinnin' free. It's dizzy with possibility.

      by lockewasright on Tue Sep 21, 2010 at 10:29:54 AM PDT

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      •  Perfectly put, and my thoughts exactly (6+ / 0-)

        Which is why anytime someone offers some ridiculous "argument" why losing the House isn't that bad I want to scream.

        We HAVE to hold the House. If I could portion out things, I'd take having a tiny majority in the Senate and holding the House.

      •  The GOP (7+ / 0-)

        will NOT take control of the Senate. O'Donnell cements that. I have said since January the Democrats will probably lose 2-4 seats net in the Senate, leaving them around 55-56.

        The GOP will NOT take control of the House. Of course they will make gains, but even despite their advantage with a lousy economy they will be hard pressed to gain NET more than 25 seats...and they need 40.
        And more, they need 40 ASSUMING they hold every seat they have now. But the Democrats will TAKE AWAY Republican seats in DE-AL, LA-02 (Cao), IL-10 (Kirk), and HI-01 (Djou) for sure, and have other fair to good chances to be on offense in Florida, California,  etc.
        AND, its still September! Which means its just about time for the latest wave of sex scandals to erupt among sure-thing Republicans (Mark Foley, anyone?)

        Finally, in this TSUNAMI/HURRICANE/TEA PARTY FURY/END OF THE WORLD FOR DEMOCRATS year of 2010, there are a raft of governor's races that look damn good for Democratic take-aways, and not always in likely places:
        (like the 3 largest US states:)
        California
        Texas (!)
        Florida.

        Also:
        Minnesota
        Hawaii
        Georgia (!)

        Pennsylvania looks better as of last night's diary from Singiser, and there may be signs of life in Ohio, Iowa, and Colorado as HOLDS for the Democrats.

        And if all of THIS is the story line on November 3....well the civil war in the GOP will be a wonder to behold.

        Shalom.

        PS. After Paladino's stumble on the steps of New York's City Hall in calling Jewish members of the city council "little Hitlers" and "Antichrist", I'm going to go out on a limb here and PREDICT Cuomo may perhaps have a chance to hold New York's Governorship for the Democrats.
        Long shot I know, but still....I have a hunch...

        "God has given wine to gladden the hearts of people." Psalm 104:15

        by WineRev on Tue Sep 21, 2010 at 11:13:52 AM PDT

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        •  I agree that we will not lose either chamber and (2+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          cybersaur, Fonsia

          a part of me loves to see the GOP's expectations inflated so because the delicious deflation will be such a delightful thing to watch.  If those demographic shifts take hold and we wind up with our party occupying the White House often enough to create a SCOTUS that the religious right finds demotivating, then I will feel like the America that the framers created and which vanished with the rise of neocons has been returned  (hopefully just as my children are entering adulthood).

          Paladino's stupidity brings this to mind:

          Picture a bright blue ball just spinnin' spinnin' free. It's dizzy with possibility.

          by lockewasright on Tue Sep 21, 2010 at 11:24:24 AM PDT

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        •  I see a lot of PA ads (1+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          lockewasright

          because I get Philly stations.

          Onorato's ad where he pushes his name at the end is good. I know I read a lot of people giving him grief over that, but it's ALWAYS good to push your name, especially if you think people aren't going to remember it. Remember too - people don't always WATCH TV, a lot of times they're just LISTENING. Putting your name up there in text and not saying it doesn't put it in people's minds if they're not watching, but only listening. People don't hang around and actively watch commercials - they hit the bathroom, they go get food, whatever. But they still HEAR it.

          People didn't know his name, or connect it with him - but they know it now. And that was the whole point of the ad.

          Sestak's ad where he plays Toomey's words about Wall St. and giving tax breaks to corporations is also good.

          I think things may be a surprise in PA.

    •  Agree completely. (3+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Blicero, lockewasright, coffejoe

      This is not a book (Atlas Shrugged) to be tossed aside lightly. It should be thrown, with great force. - Dorothy Parker

      by edwardssl on Tue Sep 21, 2010 at 10:49:15 AM PDT

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