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View Diary: Sadly Democrats to Lose Big and Here's Why (w/Poll) (204 comments)

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  •  well do you think PPP (0+ / 0-)

    is the most reliable poll of them all?  

    •  I don't think 'reliable' (0+ / 0-)

      is a term that I would generally apply to polls.  Polls have an inherent margin of error that is fairly large.

      I think PPP has a good track record via Nate Silver's analysis, but that's not really here or there.

      Polling averages have shown themselves to be a better predictor of results than any individual polling outfit.

      •  Reichart WA-8 (3+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        mattman, vcmvo2, jpmassar

        has recently been shown in a dead heat.  

        and MD-01 shows Kratovil competitive in spite of it leaning R+15
        the fact he is holding on in THIS environment shows things may not be THAT bad.

        The fact that we can pick up house seats such as Djou, Kirk, Castle, Cao, and perhaps Reichart, a calfiornia republican incumbent, and a Florida Hispanic incumbent to offset losses shows things are not that bad.

        Remember also there was no COC spending in 1994. The fact that many districts are holding up despite all this spending and this economy might be flickers of hope.  

        There were no tea party gifts in 1994 too.

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