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View Diary: KY-Sen: First post-AquaBuddha ad, looking good (259 comments)

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  •  If you consider that (6+ / 0-)
    1. 24% of the population is cell phone only

    The challenge in measuring public opinion has grown as more Americans rely on cell phones. In four and half years, the percentage of Americans 18 and older who rely on cell phones only has skyrocketed from 9.6 percent to 22.9 percent, according to the National Center for Health Statistics.

    Similarly, the tally of households with cell phones only has risen from 10.5 percent to 24.5 percent. Another 14.9 percent of homes have land lines but report receiving most or all calls via cell phones.

    and

    1. that rasmussen doesn't poll cell phones

    Many public polls this election season do include calls to cell phone-only voters, including McClatchy-Marist polls. However, some don't, including automated surveys, such as the Rasmussen poll, that use computer-generated dialing and interviews.

    "All things being equal, cell phones need to be included," said Lee Miringoff, the director of the Marist Institute for Public Opinion at Marist College, which conducts the McClatchy-Marist poll.

    "You don't want to systematically exclude a group that may have different attitudes. It's a large enough group that you can't assume that they mirror the rest of the population."

    McClatchy : Beware of polls that exclude cell phone-only voters

    your exclusion of Rasmussen is entirely appropriate. I'd bet Conway's lead is better than the 2% just reported by the DSCC.

    The beatings will continue until morale improves. -8.50, -6.92

    by ferallike on Tue Oct 19, 2010 at 04:26:49 PM PDT

    [ Parent ]

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