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View Diary: DCCC plan 22 million dollar ad buy in 66 districts... Updated x1. (47 comments)

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  •  I did my own estimates of the # seats the GOP (4+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    EricAZ, Loli, sharonsz, Senate Agenda

    picks up in the House last night. I ended up with 58 as an absolute worst case scenario and 21 with the best case scenario.

    When you start looking at the individual races, there is a clear path of seats we can hold to keep the house.

    President Obama at Madison Rally 9/28/2010 - "Change is not a spectator sport."

    by askew on Wed Oct 27, 2010 at 08:38:46 AM PDT

    •  39.5 is your median (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      askew, jovie131

      Is your estimate counting the 3-4 expected Repub to Dem flips?  

      •  In the worst case scenario, I have 4 (2+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        Loli, Senate Agenda

        seats flipping to the Dems (IL-10, DE-AL, LA-02, HI-01). In the best case scenario, I also have FL-25, WA-08 and CA-03 flipping.

        I tend to think we'll hold the House by a slim margin. However, that may change after I see the early voting numbers at the end of the week.

        President Obama at Madison Rally 9/28/2010 - "Change is not a spectator sport."

        by askew on Wed Oct 27, 2010 at 08:56:59 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

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