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View Diary: Final House Rankings and Projection (-47) (75 comments)

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  •  Absolutely (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Superribbie, brainwave, Lujane

    In addition to being important because of number of competitive seats, a few other factors make it really bear watching:

    1. The polling results really have had a dramatic LV/RV difference. Which way that goes could tell us a lot.
    1. It is one of the states that doesn't have widespread early voting (only absentee voting requiring a designated reason - being out of state, disabled, etc). Because of that, the GOTV and campaign up to the final minute -- so it may be more subject to trends and swings than some states where more than half have already voted.
    1. Real mix of suburbans, urban, rural - gives a good indication of how diverse areas are trending.

    Once social change begins,it cannot be reversed. You cannot uneducate the person who has learned to read...You cannot oppress people who are not afraid anymore.

    by terjeanderson on Fri Oct 29, 2010 at 08:43:09 PM PDT

    [ Parent ]

    •  Agree on PA. Beyond that, all the other eastern (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Superribbie

      competitive Sen races will probably have exit polling available somewhere (here, if not on the teevee), so I'll be watching for their results vs the polling.  Not so much WV, which is sort of an idiosyncratic race, and not so much FL Sen but certainly FL Gov.

      As far as the MSM goes, we would expect Blumenthal and Coons to be called early (along with NY races of course); if not, there's trouble.  On other hand, NC will prob also be called early for Burr, but if not, that's a very good sign.  If FL Sen isn't called early for Rubio, that's a REALLY good sign.  

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