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View Diary: Rating the 2010 election forecasters (54 comments)

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  •  They were averaged in (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Rusty5329, annieli

    as if they were unbiased samples of the population(s) in question, which they clearly were not given Rasmussen's performance in predicting the various races.

    Bias in a poll violate statistical assumptions about the nature of a poll's projection.  So, when averaged in with the rest, it can (and apparently did) cause a problem.

    I'm pretty happy with 121st place. Not bad for 13 points.

    by Prof Dave on Sun Dec 19, 2010 at 04:19:23 PM PST

    [ Parent ]

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