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View Diary: Contrary to POTUS, Removal of Qaddafi is the Military Objective (49 comments)

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  •  Google is your firend. (0+ / 0-)

    http://www.temehu.com/...

    This is one of many links that came up. I haven't been following Juan Cole, but if your representation of his views is accurate, then it looks like he's wrong about the level of ethnic homogeneity. How all these people from different backgrounds would interact in a less repressive environment is something that I don't think can be predicted.

    •  He didn't say homogeneous (0+ / 0-)

      and what you linked to in no way supports your point.

      What you've linked to is really nothing more than an interesting travelogue -- sort of like explaining why you'd be subjected to lutefisk from the Nordic inhabitants of Minnesota, but be enjoying etouffee by the time you exited the Mississippi in Cajun Louisiana.

      The missing component here is centuries of oppression and counter-oppression by larger sociological classes... Sure - you had familial/tribal squabbles in Iraq and in the Balkans, but the driving force behind true sectarian strife in those areas was a larger matter of millions of religion or ethnicity X slaughtering or displacing millions of religion or ethnicity Y and vice versa over time, as various sponsors and external powers held prominence.

      Again - I'm not seeing that in Libya.

      Libya post-Gaddafi might very well end up in a civil war, but the conditions and demographics all seem to indicate it would be more a matter of people lining up behind different individual leaders than it would be pre-existing divisions that have been kept from each other's throats.

      Or to put it more simply... Is the danger more or less than that of Tunisia or Egypt devolving into bloody ethnic and/or religious strife?

      I guess everyone's got their own blog now.

      by zonk on Tue Mar 29, 2011 at 11:50:26 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

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