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View Diary: BREAKING: U.S. Set to Invade Syria Any Day Now (74 comments)

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  •  Payoff probably not the right term (none)
    "Payoff" probably wasn't the term I was going for. Certainly there are benefits for Israel in this situation. Rather, I think the costs outweigh the benefits, from my armchair QB position.  Ugh, I invoked cost-benefits analysis, in manner of Robert McNamara!

    I also don't think it will be easy for Bush to railroad the Israelis into taking anything more than token military action (such as an airstrike).  Even if Bush threatens a suspension of aid (or something similar), Israel can leak the story; the resulting hullaballoo in places like Europe will derail the Bush pressure. And assuming for sake of argument that AIPAC is as powerful as some denizens of DailyKos are always asserting, a couple quick phone calls to AIPAC would ensure that Congress maintains aid levels.

    So all in all, a lot of theories, some tinfoil hat, some more plausible. Hindsight is 20/20.

    In loving memory: Sophie, June 1, 1993-January 17, 2005. My huckleberry friend.

    by Paul in Berkeley on Wed Mar 02, 2005 at 04:27:28 PM PST

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