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View Diary: Abbreviated pundit round-up (43 comments)

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  •  I know most people are frustrated... (1+ / 0-)
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    ...with the lack of definition and clarity in the Libyan conflict. But many of us need to step back and recall that Gaddafi had suppressed any and all organized opposition to his reign for FOUR DECADES. The opposition are people who are still learning each other, let alone be able to coherently communicate a eye-pleasing PR message to the outside world about what kind of Soccer team they will field in the 2014 World Cup.

    Prior to the institution of the No Fly Zone, I had hoped that we could find a way to somehow create a "safe harbor" in Benghazi so that over the course of time this opposition would be able to sort itself out. Mind you, that would have been a radical step: international occupation of a portion of a sovereign state in order to "incubate" a potential political, revolutionary alternative to the sitting government in plain sight.

    It's going to be messy in Libya, even if most things break right. There are going to be more mistakes like the rebels killed because they were in a captured Libyan tank and NATO forces had insufficient intel that the tank was now "friendly."

    There are going to be hundreds of thousands of refugees in limbo at many places for months or more.  

    Thousands of Lybians will be killed.

    Scores of NGO workers are going to be killed.

    I type these words not out of some relish, but because I'm enough of a student of history to know that Sherman was spot on when he said "War is Hell," and it's what's going to happen, even if magically in the next week the rebels become a reasonably trained-up, communication tricked out, "intel-rich" coordinated unit with sufficient logistical support to start re-taking recently lost ground. We shouldn't allow the unrealistic expectations of the news cycle (and armchair "experts" who have fired any weapon fewer times than myself - and I've only fired a gun a dozen times at a shooting range and on 3 hunting trips) to create the insane expectation for this to be neatly tied up in 20 episodes.

    The so-called "rising tide" is lifting only yachts.

    by Egalitare on Fri Apr 08, 2011 at 05:11:33 AM PDT

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