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View Diary: AZ-Pres: Obama surprisingly strong in Arizona (104 comments)

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  •  The problem with Mississippi (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    TofG, ChadmanFL, GradyDem

    is that winning would require winning a portion of the white vote that just doesn't seem possible unless the Republican candidate is really nutty and/or there are potential Democratic voters that just aren't showing up. The source of the Democratic strength in the state, such as it is, comes from black voters, who already show up at higher rates than you might expect given the demographic conditions. I guess if, come July, it looks like he's going to steamroll the Republican candidate no matter who it is, he could see just how many white Democratic voters there are in the state, but I wouldn't be surprised if he ignored it entirely. There are plenty of other more obvious targets, including Texas, which I still think he will make a play for.

    •  Mississippi is a long way off (0+ / 0-)

      But I think it could be won by Democrats down the road maybe a decade or two from now.  The vast majority of children in Mississippi are black.  Their % of the voting base will increase greatly in the coming decades.  I believe they could even become a majority some day according to projections.  

      •  Obama in Mississippi (0+ / 0-)

        I realize that there are bigger fish to fry, but part of me wants the Obama campaign to set up shop in Mississippi as a test case for trying to turn out Democratic-leaning voters in very red states. Were he to win or come very, very close despite it not doing that much better than last time, it could blow the lid wide open for Democrats in such states.

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