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View Diary: Appearances can be deceiving: A Regression Analysis of the 2006 MD-04 Primary (33 comments)

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  •  Oh, okay. One more question-- what is the standard (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    terjeanderson

    deviation of Edwards? Because one reason this works so well (just race accounting for 63% of variance is pretty good) is that there might simply not be much variance. Or are there lots of precincts that went more than 60-40 one way?

    •  64 went to Wynn by more than 60-40 (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      terjeanderson

      (although the last was like .399 Edwards and a bunch were close to 40).  26 more went for Edwards by more than 60-40 (although again, some close).  So that means 90 went 60-40 or more one or the other way out of the 169 precincts.  Don't know if that counts as "lots".

      Standard deviation...even though I taught that in a summer class, I'm not sure I calculated it right, but pretty sure Edwards has a standard deviation of 0.126876317.  Again, I don't know if that's a lot by the standards of this sort of thing.

      25, Dem, Dude seeing a dude, CT-04(originally), PA-02/NY-12(now)

      by Xenocrypt on Tue May 10, 2011 at 08:51:16 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  For a fun completely apples-to-oranges comparison (0+ / 0-)

        The standard deviation of Obama's performance in 2008 across the 50 states was 0.0954478927.

        25, Dem, Dude seeing a dude, CT-04(originally), PA-02/NY-12(now)

        by Xenocrypt on Tue May 10, 2011 at 10:02:50 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

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