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View Diary: Appearances can be deceiving: A Regression Analysis of the 2006 MD-04 Primary (33 comments)

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  •  Most of them (1+ / 0-)
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    A few precincts of northernmost Montgomery are in the 6th; these are in the Damascus area, a mostly rural (though growing) area that is one of the few parts of the county to vote Republican with any regularity.

    MD-4 did take some parts of MD-8, such as Olney and about half of Germantown, that voted for Connie in the 80s and 90s and replaced them with precincts in the Silver Spring/Takoma Park area and a bit of Prince George's, areas that are one-sidedly Democratic and where a lot of voters didn't know Connie, leading to her defeat by Chris Van Hollen.  Since then, however, many of what had been Morella's best precincts have grown more Democratic (they mostly already leaned that way, and certainly wouldn't vote for a more conservative Republican; Connie was a special case.)

    •  Yeah (0+ / 0-)

      I haven't ran the income/education numbers or whatever, but, knowing what little I know, it's certainly plausible to me that there might a non-trivial number of Morella-Edwards voters.  Maybe people who "vote the candidate, not the party".

      25, Dem, Dude seeing a dude, CT-04(originally), PA-02/NY-12(now)

      by Xenocrypt on Tue May 10, 2011 at 08:52:38 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

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