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View Diary: DK Elections Daily Digest: 5/12 (156 comments)

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  •  It's not that I disagree with you on the one hand (0+ / 0-)

    but this year lacks a McCain, or a Kerry.  They both got the nominations for similar reasons... soft support for others combined with being most people's second or "safe" choice.

    Romney is both the fallback choice, and the leading candidate.  (I also believe healthcare won't matter hardly at all.  he's not competing for the tea party wingnut vote.  It matters not at al to his path to the nomination.)

    My point again though is I see,as of now, no way to the nomination for anybody else.  Romney wins Nevada.  No one has a connection to NH (both McCain and Kerry did).  I don't expect Romney to win Iowa, but a Pawlenty/Romney/Daniels/Gingrich split offers not much value to the others.  And a Huckabee win, if he runs, just sets him for a head to head against Romney.

    If Romney performs even 3/4 as good as he did last time in the first four states, he wins the nomination because he is this years McCain.

    by tommypaine on Thu May 12, 2011 at 08:56:17 PM PDT

    [ Parent ]

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