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View Diary: Can the Democrats Take Back the House? (75 comments)

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  •  You're right about redistricting (0+ / 0-)

    Redistricting will be key in determining which seats are competitive.

    Seeing as you're in California, it seems like that would a good state where the Dems could find more opportunities after redistricting.  Hopefully it produces more than a couple.

    Maryland should also provide another chance for a pick-up (or maybe two) -- MD-01 and/or MD-06, after redistricting (Dems have control).

    By the way, I'm not so sure about AR-01, AR-02, or AZ-05.  Any candidates you think will be able to win those back?

    •  I thought of some candidates (0+ / 0-)

      Bill Halter or Shane Broadway in AR-2 and Harry Mitchell might again in AZ-5, depending on where the new district ends up, that seat may have more of a swing.

      25, Male, CA-24, DK Elections Black Caucus Chair.

      by DrPhillips on Tue May 17, 2011 at 11:01:36 AM PDT

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      •  I'm pretty skeptical (0+ / 0-)

        I could well be wrong, but it seems to me that Arkansas is one of the Southern and border states that has gotten quite a lot more Republican in a somewhat deep-seated way, comparable to Tennessee (which has gone even further in that direction) and West Virginia (which has not yet gone as far). Of course there are exceptions, like their governor, who won big. But the way I see it, the Clinton influence staved off the Republican tide for a while but has worn off. So while the Democrats should contest seats anywhere they can, concentrating more on some other targets in other parts of the country is a lot more likely to pay dividends.

        Formerly Pan on Swing State Project

        by MichaelNY on Thu May 19, 2011 at 08:02:07 PM PDT

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