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View Diary: CA-36: Debra Bowen concedes (125 comments)

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  •  Sounds about right (2+ / 0-)
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    drhoosierdem, SoCalGal23

    I suppose I'd still peg it at Likely D, if only b/c you perhaps never know with a Special House election like this. Hahn might underperform if the Bowen/Winograd supporters aren't enthused to turn out for the run-off, but, even then, the overwhelming D registration strength should propel her to a comfortable victory. Worst case would probably be something like 56-44, best case 64-36.

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    by andyroo312 on Thu May 19, 2011 at 07:21:21 PM PDT

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    •  I agree with that over/under (2+ / 0-)
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      drhoosierdem, SoCalGal23

      Hahn can afford to pivot left as a conciliatory appeal to progressives who voted for other candidates on Tuesday.

      Independent, Auckland Central resident, MD-05 voter, OR-01 native, Swingnut for life, and keeper of the DKE glossary.

      by SaoMagnifico on Thu May 19, 2011 at 07:34:22 PM PDT

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    •  12 points seems about right (1+ / 0-)
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      Tuba Les

      The minute Hahn's people see it getting anywhere near single digits they start seriously calling in reinforcements and ramping up the printers and the phone banks. The Democrats need to have a clear mandate against the "Republicans are competitive in blue states" meme.

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