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View Diary: Redistricting New York: 15-1-11 (32 comments)

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  •  Not a bipartisan gerrymander (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    grrr, SaoMagnifico

    a gop wet dream maybe.....

    With split control a map with at least 20 safe D districts is the absolute least we can expect.

    •  What would this look like post-2008 and post-2010 (0+ / 0-)

      If this was the map in the 2010 elections then Republicans would have won: 3, 11, 18, 22, 24, maybe 19, and 26 if Chris Lee was already the incumbent. That means after the most Republican election year in recent memory NY would be 20-7.
      If this was the map in the 2008 elections then Republicans would have won : 3, 21, and 24. And then Dems would pick up 21 in the 2009 special election. After the most Democratic series of election years in recent memory NY would be 25-2.
      The 11 tossup districts are everything between D+4 and R+4 (Obama got between 49% and 57%). That designation doesn't account for the strength of incumbents or other factors.

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