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View Diary: Daily Kos Elections Morning Digest: 5/23 (343 comments)

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  •  I'm thinking (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:

    that this is going to lead up to a Goldwater type nomination by the Republicans this year.  None of the establishment candidates are the next in line for them.  So I think they will nominate someone from the far right and use this as a movement election.  They'll lose, but fire up their base for the Congressional elections.

    by DavidatTruBlu on Mon May 23, 2011 at 08:35:34 AM PDT

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    •  Possible (3+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      tietack, itskevin, Odysseus

      But personally, I still think it'll be Romney. They always go next-in-line, he polls the best, he will likely have the most money, he has strength in NH, Pawlenty is dull and Huntsman has too many disqualifiers - working for Obama, complaining the stimulus wasn't big enough, support for cap and trade and for civil unions. In a funny way I wonder if Romneycare actually helps Mitt in that so much focus is on it they ignore his other flip-flops.

      •  Agreed, I don't see a '64-style nominee ahead (2+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        TofG, Odysseus

        I also suspect Romney winds up prevailing, perhaps via a stunning Iowa upset which all but shuts the primaries down from the get-go, and he runs a competent, passionless, dry campaign which entirely banks on the economy and Obama's approval failing to improve. My hunch is Romney probably loses by around Bush-Kerry numbers, but he could, under the right circumstances, win ala Clinton/Bush, should the economic scene indeed not improve. I think Pawlenty's probably the more intriguing nominee, but I dunno if he's any more competent, really.

        I really don't, however, think Bachmann, Gingrich or Palin wins the nomination. I definitely think it's either Romney or Pawlenty.

        For daily political commentary, visit me at and

        by andyroo312 on Mon May 23, 2011 at 10:56:35 AM PDT

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