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View Diary: Special Elections foreshadow change in Democratic fortunes (51 comments)

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  •  as you said, things are never equal (1+ / 0-)
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    TofG

    For instance, the Minnesota race where there was actually a r+1 shift, it is hard to equate the two. In 2010, the incumbent was tony sertich, the house majority leader and speaker-presumptive. Had the dfl held onto the house (most people assumed this would happen), it would be speaker sertich right now. After his resignation to head the irrrb, and very young nobody ran and won the dfl nomination, and the general election as a formality (republicans don't exist in this part of the world) . So 25 year old recent college graduate living in her parents basement vs the speaker-presumptive. Not exactly even.

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