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View Diary: 2012 House Open Seat Watch (5/24/11) (68 comments)

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  •  It can (0+ / 0-)

    Lots of options for doing so

    New York will lose 2 districts - presumably one Republican one upstate and one Democratic one downstate

    There are 3 western upstate Republican held seats (24th, 25th, 29th), while there are 2 neighbouring Democratic held districts (27th and 28th).

    If the 3 Republican seats are consolidated into 2, the most Republican parts of those districts (and Republican parts  of the 26th)  can be concentrated into 1 extremely Republican district, with one more swing Republican leaning district.

    Slaughter's current district would probably lose the current Buffalo/Niagara Democratic territory (which could be added to make up for population loss in the 27th and to strengthen Hochul in the 26th), the 26th could pick up some Democratic Rochester territory if needed, and the 28th or the 26th could spread eastward to grab Democratic territory in Syracuse and/or Ithaca.

    Bottom line, if Hochul wins, Ann Marie Buerkle is very likely to see her district disappear and be absorbed into NY 23, 24, 25, 28, and 29.

    That's a general picture of how it might work -- there are lots and lots of variations on it. Plenty of folks have played around with this idea on some of the redistricting programs.

    Once social change begins,it cannot be reversed. You cannot uneducate the person who has learned to read...You cannot oppress people who are not afraid anymore.

    by terjeanderson on Tue May 24, 2011 at 12:48:11 PM PDT

    [ Parent ]

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