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View Diary: Proposed Congressional map provides opportunities for downstate Illinois Democrats (29 comments)

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  •  The 17th is strongly Democratic. (0+ / 0-)

    The parts of Peoria added to the 17th lean Democratic. Besides that, the bulk of 17 voters will be in Rock Island/Moline and Rockford. Most of 17 doesn't know Schock and they're Democrats. He won't win there.

    Schock will probably run in the 18th and win there, but 17 can be won with any good Democratic candidate.

    •  They took a district that (0+ / 0-)

      voted for Kerry 51-48 and by the looks of it inched it up to 53-47 or something like that.  Obama got 59.7% to McCain's 38.8%; translated into two party vote to keep the comparison with 2004 the same: Obama 60.6%, McCain 39.4%.

      They perhaps made this district safer than you needed to, but I think they might be hedging their bets in case Phil Hare is our nominee in 2012.

      Also, I think they really wanted to try to draw a "neat" map, and they generally succeeded in that.  I don't think they gave any of the newspaper columnists much to complain about with ugly lines.  But that neatness probably prevented them from grabbing Peoria to put into the new 13th, which would have surely brought it up to 58% Obama+ rather than 55%.  Since they didn't feel like they could use Peoria for the Springfield-Champana-Decatur district, why continue to waste it in a vote sink like the IL-18?  

      •  Peoria (2+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        JGibson, MichaelNY

        It looks like the more Dem parts of Peoria are in 17 and the more Republican areas are in 18. I can understand the rationale there.

        Peoria would have made perfect sense in 13 if they hadn't drawn it southward to include Shimkus' home in Collinsville.

        It's not just newspaper columnists that didn't like the old 17th. A lot of people in Springfield and Decatur have been pissed about their districts for 10 years. Dividing Springfield between three Congressman, with a tiny sliver in the 17th was grotesque. Living over 150 miles from their Congressman was not acceptable to many. I hope that putting most of Springfield into one district was in response to the public outrage. The new district looks much better.

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