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View Diary: Daily Kos Elections Morning Digest: 6/7 (306 comments)

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  •  less than 9% if the state population. (0+ / 0-)

    I am not sold.

    •  PPP primary #'s. (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Gpack3, BeloitDem

      If it were a race between Baldwin and Kind, Baldwin would take most of the support of Erpenbach, Falk, Moore, and a good chunk of Kagen's support. She's in the strongest position no matter how you slice it.

      19, Chairman DKE Gay Caucus, male, Dem, (College IN-09) (Raised IL-03, IL-09) Tammy Baldwin for Senate!

      by ndrwmls10 on Tue Jun 07, 2011 at 10:09:29 AM PDT

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      •  That's just fantasy talk (0+ / 0-)

        There is no way to suggest anything besides she is better known than the others.  

        If she runs against one out-state candidate, she's at a disadvantage, as any Madison candidate is.

        by tommypaine on Tue Jun 07, 2011 at 04:49:24 PM PDT

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        •  Then tell me how (0+ / 0-)

          the breakdown of support would go. If it is race between Baldwin and Kind. I really want to know.

          19, Chairman DKE Gay Caucus, male, Dem, (College IN-09) (Raised IL-03, IL-09) Tammy Baldwin for Senate!

          by ndrwmls10 on Tue Jun 07, 2011 at 05:17:05 PM PDT

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        •  You are forgetting Milwaukee (2+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          The Caped Composer, MichaelNY

          That is a huge source of votes especially in a Dem primary as last year's Lt. Gov primary with Spencer Coggs shows.  I do not think Kind's stance on trade is very popular in the Milwaukee area, particularly among the unions.  

          All Wisconsin, All the Time, Social Democrat, WI-05 (Home), Oxford East (Study Abroad), NY-22 (College)

          by glame on Tue Jun 07, 2011 at 06:22:37 PM PDT

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        •  You're wrong (1+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:

          Between Baldwin, Erpenbach and Falk, Madison area candidates get 47% to 36% for out state candidates and 6% for Milwaukee. As a matter of fact, the last time the democratic nominee for senator or governor did not live in either Dane or Milwaukee County was in 1998, and that was a sacrificial lamb.

          The idea that everyone not from Madison is "outstate" and will vote against a candidate from Madison is ludicrous. Yes, Ron Kind is liable to do well in La Crosse and Steve Kagan is liable to do well in Appleton and Green Bay. However, A democrat from La Crosse is no more likely to vote for a democrat from Appleton than a democrat from Madison. By and large, even rural democrats don't particularly think Madison has cooties.

          •  I didn't say what you said was ludicrous (0+ / 0-)

            So let's skip the silly talk.

            It is however a complete fantasy to suggest that someone from La Crosse isn't more likely to vote for someone from Appleton.

            And, who said anything about "democrats"?  The issue here is electability, and that breaks down mostly to independant voters, the ones who voted Obey and kagen and Obama in 2008, but for Walker and other Republicans in 2010.

            It's not suicide to be from Madison for a Dem.  It's just not as good as not being from Madison or Milwaukee.


            by tommypaine on Wed Jun 08, 2011 at 04:46:41 AM PDT

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