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View Diary: Daily Kos Elections Morning Digest: 6/7 (306 comments)

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  •  Noticed that about Gallup (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    askew, LordMike, MichaelNY

    Also, Rasmussen has Obama at 49%, pretty much much where has been for like a month in Rasmussen, when you average things out.  

    •  Nate observed recently (3+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      LordMike, DCCyclone, MichaelNY

      That Rasmussen's stability is odd and that the shifts that do occur have no correlation with the news.

      •  This was exactly what exposed Research 2000 (3+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        itskevin, askew, MichaelNY

        R2K's DailyKos weekly polls had the same kind of stability.  And it was a statistical study of the R2K weekly polls submitted to Markos for his attention that started the ball rolling on outing them as a fraud.

        I learned something about polling I didn't know from that episode, that honest and accurate samples in a frequent tracking poll have more volatility than you might think, and too much stability is fishy.

        Rasmussen has been following the same suspicious path, really stubbornly sticky numbers without regard to game-changing headlines to which ordinary voters really do pay attention.

        43, male, Indian-American, married and proud father of a girl and a boy, Democrat, VA-10

        by DCCyclone on Tue Jun 07, 2011 at 07:34:00 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

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