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View Diary: UPDATE Wisconsin GAB Certifies Recall Petitions Against Democratic State Senators (167 comments)

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  •  No I am saying that is not the strategy (15+ / 0-)

    The GOP leaders behind this are interested in 4 more weeks of guaranteed majority in the senate.  Those 4 weeks are assured if primaries occur.

    Outcomes of primaries are not ensured. It is a low-probability tactic to win a primary w/a no-name candidate against an officially-backed candidate.  And as for the flooding across primary ... most voters are not rabid political junkies.  It is very hard to do a GOTV In The Other Party's Election Drive.

    No, this is about 4 more weeks of GOP majority in the Senate.

    And THAT means the WI GOP is seriously in worry.

    Stop. Stand up. Make a sign. Walk around in public. Be polite and orderly and the rest takes care of itself. Want to shake up the Plutocrats? Demonstrate your attention to politics.

    by Quicklund on Wed Jun 08, 2011 at 11:17:53 AM PDT

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    •  I hope you are right, I do (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      ruleoflaw, Calamity Jean

      but I think you are underestimating your political opponents.  See my comment a bit upthread as how I would run a campaign if I were the republicans in Wisconsin.

      "Empty vessels make the loudest sound, they have the least wit and are the greatest blabbers" Plato

      by Empty Vessel on Wed Jun 08, 2011 at 11:20:23 AM PDT

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    •  Except that the Senate will adjourn (14+ / 0-)

      before July 12th and won't be back in session until September.  Being in the majority an extra month won't allow them to do more damage because they won't be in Madison to accomplish it (thank goodness).  I really think it has more to do with scrambling to get attack ads and out of state corporate moolah in place now that they know who their Dem opponents will be.  It does not take a huge amount of scratch to dominate direct mail and airwaves in places like Fond du Lac and Oshkosh and beat down your opponents to depress turnout, but it does take some time.  They want to muddy the waters and cost the Dems some money to defend themselves in an unnecessary primary and they want that extra month to put together their attack.

      "We have to remain constantly vigilant to prevent raids by those who would selfishly exploit our common heritage for their private gain." Harry Truman

      by Helena Handbag on Wed Jun 08, 2011 at 11:30:33 AM PDT

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      •  There is a detail I did not consider (3+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        TofG, Helena Handbag, ruleoflaw
        Except that the Senate will adjourn
        before July 12th and won't be back in session until September

        Well that makes a lot of sense.  But it still points to delay being the motivation, and not a sincere attempt to win with those fake candidates.

        Stop. Stand up. Make a sign. Walk around in public. Be polite and orderly and the rest takes care of itself. Want to shake up the Plutocrats? Demonstrate your attention to politics.

        by Quicklund on Wed Jun 08, 2011 at 12:17:28 PM PDT

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      •  Rec'd for your username, as well as content (n/t) (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        ruleoflaw
        •  I agree. (3+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          Empty Vessel, nargel, AnnieJo

          Helena Handbag is one of the coolest usernames I have seen in all the vast intertubes.  

          Her comment is also quite accurate regarding direct mail and radio in Oshkosh and Fond du Lac.  Those are the two largest cities in the 18th State Senate District, presently represented neglected by Randy "Bed" Hopper.
          Jessica King is his genuine Democratic opponent.

          TV ads in this district are a problem.
          I live in the southwest corner of the district.  With a boosted antenna on my roof, I can bring in three separate TV markets, Milwaukee, Madison and Green Bay.  (Yes, I still use an antenna, I'm Amish.)  Most cable or dish providers offer only a few local channels and usually require that they all be from the same market.  

          Oshkosh is by far the biggest city and is on the north end of the district.  The Madison stations don't reach here and the Milwaukee stations are iffy, so if you've got TV money, spend it in the relatively cheap Green Bay market.

          Fond du Lac is in the middle of the district and doesn't bring in the Madison stations very well.  Local TV subscriptions split between Green Bay and Milwaukee.  

          South of Fond du Lac is mostly rural and also split between Milwaukee and Madison.  If you spend money in the Milwaukee market, you spend a lot more money to reach fewer people.

          If you can play the cowbell, thank a sheet metal worker.

          by ruleoflaw on Wed Jun 08, 2011 at 02:03:55 PM PDT

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