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View Diary: Michigan Redistricting: First Republican map is out (118 comments)

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  •  It doesn't scream dummymander to me (5+ / 0-)

    Michigan Republicans have drawn a very effective map with what they had to go with.  They certainly weren't going to sacrifice one of their seats to make some others stronger.  

    However, IF Schauer had won in 2010, Republicans may have been forced to concede that he was too strong to ever beat, so they could've drawn him a safe district in Kalamazoo, Calhoun, Eaton, and Lansing that is 61% Obama and would help strengthen 3, 6, and 8.  This would turn both 6 and 8 into [barely] McCain districts.  Unfortuntely, Schauer was not strong enough in 2010 and Republicans are still competitive in the 7th.

    •  If Schauer won in 2010... (6+ / 0-)

      Republicans concede MI-07 to Schauer and put Kalamazoo, Battle Creek, and Lansing in the same district.  The 2nd, 3rd, 4th, 6th, and 8th all become safer, with the 6th and the 8th getting about 5 points more Republican.

      Changes:
      MI-02: 48% Obama 51% McCain R+7
      MI-03: 49% Obama 49% McCain R+6
      MI-04: 50% Obama 49% McCain R+4
      MI-06: 49% Obama 49% McCain R+5
      MI-07: 61% Obama 38% McCain D+8
      MI-08: 47% Obama 51% McCain R+7

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