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View Diary: CA-06: Lynn Woolsey reportedly set to retire (99 comments)

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  •  bizzare results to come.. (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    MichaelNY

    You're generally correct. Dianne is very popular. A lot more popular than BB in fact. The time period that BB & DiFi have been senators is the only time in the history of the state that both senators have been from the same part of the state. and honestly that doesn't sit well with people outside the Bay Area.

    However, I don't think that the full magnitude of the top two election system has been realized. To my (California voting) mind I'm very leery of  what can happen and who squeezes through to a general election in a democratic challenge from the left.  
     What happens if the general election is Lynn Woolsley and say... Abel Maldonado?

    ex-SSP I abstained rather than vote for Kevin McCarthy.

    by hankmeister on Tue Jun 21, 2011 at 10:24:05 AM PDT

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    •  Not sure how those two (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      MichaelNY

      would end up in the top two.  But we saw what happened when the general election, in 2010, was Gavin Newsom and Abel Maldonado.  I know Gavin is considered a conservative within SF politics, but I don't know how distinguishable he would be from Woolsley in the mind of the general statewide voter.

      25, Dem, Dude seeing a dude, CT-04(originally), PA-02/NY-12(now)

      by Xenocrypt on Tue Jun 21, 2011 at 10:30:34 AM PDT

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      •  That's one election (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        MichaelNY

        Actually, that would have been clarified by a top-two system: Newsom won 50.2%, Maldonado won 39%, with 7.8% going to right-leaning third parties and 2.7% going to left-leaning ones.  So first approximation would be: Newsom 52.9%, Maldonado 46.8%.  Either way, it is a good showing for Maldonado and/or a lousy showing for Newsom, but I think that's about the best scenario Maldonado could hope for.

        http://en.wikipedia.org/...

        25, Dem, Dude seeing a dude, CT-04(originally), PA-02/NY-12(now)

        by Xenocrypt on Tue Jun 21, 2011 at 10:37:36 AM PDT

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    •  Total fiction (0+ / 0-)

      The idea DiFi is popular is fantasy.  Can she easily defeat a Republicna?  yes.  Can she get people to answer the question that they generally approve of her as a Senator?  But "popular"?  No freaking way.  

      Her approvals are like how people talk about Romney's current level of support.  She's tolerable, but almost nobody's passionate choice.

      http://www.dailykos.com/story/2008/11/13/21516/201/804/660248

      by tommypaine on Tue Jun 21, 2011 at 04:26:29 PM PDT

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      •  You have an interesting definition (2+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        MichaelNY, Matt Z

        of the term "popular"

        Most of us base it off stuff like approval ratings, not nebulous ideas of "passion." The segment of the population that gets really "passionate" about any politician is relatively small.

        •  Is Evan Bayh "popular" on DKE? (0+ / 0-)

          Would Evan Bayh defeat Dan Coats among DKE voters?

          Approval ratings are not popularity.  She is not popular in any sense of the term, colloquially or politically.  But people will generally approve of her job, and they will vote for her against Republicans.

          Her reelect numbers are not very good though because she is not popular.

          http://www.dailykos.com/story/2008/11/13/21516/201/804/660248

          by tommypaine on Tue Jun 21, 2011 at 05:00:39 PM PDT

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