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View Diary: Wait, what? 157k Jobs Added in June? (73 comments)

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  •  It's absurd (3+ / 0-)

    to compare apples and pyramids. It's better to compare apples to apples. Midterms to midterms. There is no significant drop off black support of this President and certainly not a 40% drop. That is completely and wholly unsupportable.

    Of the tsunami of mistakes made by the media in interpreting the midterm election results, the one that rises to the top is the assertion that Democrats lost more than 60 House seats in part because the African-American portion of the electorate declined from 13 percent in 2008 to 10 percent on November 2.

    The problem isn’t that those reports are not technically correct – they are – but journalists and commentators were using the wrong yardstick. Midterm election turnout is always lighter than voting in presidential years, especially a presidential election of historic proportion.

    For example, the 63-percent turnout of eligible voters at the polls in 2008 was the highest percentage for a presidential contest since 1960. African Americans voted at an even higher rate than whites – 68 percent. Therefore, comparing the 2010 off-year election to a presidential election in which the first African American won the right to occupy the White House is even more preposterous.

    A more apt comparison would be 2006, the last off-year election. Using that measurement, there was no drop-off in black people going to the polls. The 10 percent share for African Americans this year is the same proportion as 2006, the last midterm election.

    “The only thing that happens in an instant is destruction... but everything else requires time." - First Lady Michelle Obama

    by FiredUpInCA on Thu Jul 07, 2011 at 12:09:45 PM PDT

    [ Parent ]

    •  You could say there was a dropoff in terms of... (0+ / 0-)

      the 2008 elections producing a black voting rate above the historical norm, and the 2010 elections not doing so...

      but we're into a pretty high derivative here.

      Art is the handmaid of human good.

      by joe from Lowell on Thu Jul 07, 2011 at 06:58:20 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

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