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View Diary: CA-36: Janice Hahn (D) leads by 8 for tomorrow's special election (223 comments)

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  •  Good point (1+ / 0-)
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    drobertson

    I was thinking that there's no way that:
    a) This poll is right and Obama is at 44/47 in this district, and
    b)TPM's poll average is right and Obama is at 45.5-49.2 nationally, without
    c) there being basically no relationship between PVI and Obama approval, which doesn't sound right.  (Or, a complex relationship, with something very strange about CA-36.)

    Still, the problem, as usual, is that there's some sweet spot in between registereds and likelies that is probably the most politically important population to understand--but who knows where it is between them?

    25, Dem, Dude seeing a dude, CT-04(originally), PA-02/NY-12(now)

    by Xenocrypt on Mon Jul 11, 2011 at 02:11:48 PM PDT

    [ Parent ]

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