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View Diary: Daily Kos Elections Morning Digest: 7/18 (135 comments)

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  •  From what I've seen (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    itskevin

    a lot of people seem to be hung up on the campaigning and fundraising side of things. She has the whole primary season to prepare herself and if she's bad she looses.

    19, Chairman DKE Gay Caucus, male, Dem, (College IN-09) (Raised IL-03, IL-09) Tammy Baldwin for Senate!

    by ndrwmls10 on Mon Jul 18, 2011 at 08:47:22 AM PDT

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    •  As Scott's former opponent reminds us (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      James Allen

      Primary campaigning and general election campaigning can be two different skill sets.  This race will be an interesting test of different kinds of candidate quality vs. constituency fundamentals, to be sure.

      25, Dem, Dude seeing a dude, CT-04(originally), PA-02/NY-12(now)

      by Xenocrypt on Mon Jul 18, 2011 at 08:52:34 AM PDT

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      •  Didn't that have more (0+ / 0-)

        to do with the fact that she was the "front runner" and Capuano ran a lazy campaign. This will definitely be a different primary, especially if one of the Congressmen get in.

        19, Chairman DKE Gay Caucus, male, Dem, (College IN-09) (Raised IL-03, IL-09) Tammy Baldwin for Senate!

        by ndrwmls10 on Mon Jul 18, 2011 at 08:56:02 AM PDT

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        •  Why? The last one had a Congressman too. (0+ / 0-)

          You don't know that this one will run a better campaign than Capuano.  Hell, it might be Capuano again.

          But even if you don't think my point applies here, take it as a general point--or as a question: Why should how well a candidates runs a primary campaign be a good indication of how well a candidate runs a general campaign?  The audiences are significantly different, the dynamics are significantly different.  Admittedly, some of the same political "life skills" are required of both, but beyond that, I'm not sure there's much of a connection.  I would assume a stronger connection in high-turnout primaries than in low-turnout primaries, and in open primaries than in closed primaries, but that's just an assumption.

          For example, if she enters with the support of Murray and such, Warren might well be in a similar position to Coakley during their respective primaries: the "front runner" preferred by various bigwigs, and so even if she's "bad" at primary campaigning in the same way Coakley was "bad" at primary campaigning (assuming Coakley did, in fact, run a bad primary campaign, I don't really know the details), she might still win the primary, just like Coakley did.  

          This is not to say this will happen, or even that I think this is likely to happen (I haven't even watched a video of her speaking or anything, and I really don't want to contribute to a "Warren as Coakley" fad).  Again, just a general point.  We also can all point to primaries where we think an inferior candidate (for the general election or as a politician) won, and a superior candidate lost.

          25, Dem, Dude seeing a dude, CT-04(originally), PA-02/NY-12(now)

          by Xenocrypt on Mon Jul 18, 2011 at 11:18:08 AM PDT

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        •  What is your reasoning (0+ / 0-)

          for the statement, "Capuano ran a lazy campaign"

          •  He didn't win and (0+ / 0-)

            everyone loves to say how much Coakley sucks at campaigning. That's my reasoning behind the statement.

            19, Chairman DKE Gay Caucus, male, Dem, (College IN-09) (Raised IL-03, IL-09) Tammy Baldwin for Senate!

            by ndrwmls10 on Mon Jul 18, 2011 at 03:28:49 PM PDT

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            •  She actually campaigned during the primary (0+ / 0-)

              outspent him about 2:1 and had a huge lead in name recognition. He couldn't quite catch up with her, though he ran it pretty close.

              "If people doled out nutkickings where they are deserved, the world would be a better place." -Marcel Inhoff

              by ArkDem14 on Mon Jul 18, 2011 at 07:05:30 PM PDT

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