You must Publish this diary to make this visible to the public,
or click 'Edit Diary' to make further changes first.
Posting a Diary Entry
Daily Kos welcomes blog articles from readers, known as diaries. The Intro section to a diary should be about three paragraphs long, and is required. The body section is optional, as
is the poll, which can have 1 to 15 choices. Descriptive tags are also required to help others find your diary by subject; please don't use "cute" tags.
When you're ready, scroll down below the tags and click Save & Preview. You can edit your diary after it's published by clicking Edit Diary. Polls cannot be edited once they are published.
If this is your first time creating a Diary since the Ajax upgrade, before you enter any text below, please press Ctrl-F5 and then hold down the Shift Key and press your browser's Reload button to refresh its cache with the new script files.
ATTENTION: READ THE RULES.
One diary daily maximum.
Substantive diaries only. If you don't have at least three solid, original paragraphs, you should probably post a comment in an Open Thread.
No repetitive diaries. Take a moment to ensure your topic hasn't been blogged (you can search for Stories and Diaries
that already cover this topic), though fresh original analysis is always welcome.
Use the "Body" textbox if your diary entry is longer than three paragraphs.
Any images in your posts must be hosted by an approved image hosting service (one of: imageshack.us, photobucket.com, flickr.com, smugmug.com, allyoucanupload.com, picturetrail.com, mac.com, webshots.com, editgrid.com).
Copying and pasting entire copyrighted works is prohibited. If you do quote something, keep it brief, always provide a link to the original source, and use the <blockquote> tags to clearly identify the quoted material. Violating this rule is grounds for immediate banning.
Be civil. Do not "call out" other users by name in diary titles. Do not use profanity in diary titles. Don't write diaries whose main purpose is to deliberately inflame.
John Kasich's not getting any more popular. 33% of voters approve of him to 53% who disapprove. Only a little more than half of Republicans think he's doing a good job (58/25), while Democrats (9/80) are almost universal in their disapproval. If voters could do the 2010 election over again they'd vote for Ted Strickland by a 20 point margin, 56-36, numbers that not coincidentally track closely with the Senate Bill 5 repeal result from last fall.
I've long posited that unpopular wingnut governors in Wisconsin, Ohio and Florida would end up being some of the best allies of the Obama reelect effort. At least in Ohio, that much seems true.
Sherrod Brown continues to look like a strong favorite for reelection to the Senate from Ohio, leading Republican challenger Josh Mandel 47-36. The race has tightened a little bit though since PPP's last poll, which found Brown leading by a 49-34 spread.
Brown is below 50 percent, so he's not out of the woods. But he's looking surprisingly spry for what was supposed to be one of the biggest GOP opportunities in 2012. Those numbers are particularly heartening since conservative groups like the U.S. Chamber of Commerce and Karl Rove's outfit have already spent millions attacking him.
Of course, a 4.2-point composite lead isn't exactly a dominant advantage (even if PPP's latest has it 49-42), but it's not far off the 4.6-point margin Obama won in 2008. Kind of makes a mockery of the narrative that Obama and the Dems are losing the Midwest. While Ohio may not be crazy about Obama, they certainly aren't rushing to Mitt Romney's bandwagon. Turns out, Ohio dislikes Romney as much as we do:
The trajectory is decidedly downward, with the latest PPP poll pegging his numbers at 28 percent favorable, 56 percent unfavorable. (By comparison, Obama is at 48-48.)
So to recap, Ohioans hate their governor and wish they'd reelected the Democrat instead, they like their freshman senator enough to give him the big early lead, and they really really really don't like the GOP frontrunner, and give the Democratic president a solid and consistent lead.
Again, Republicans will spend hundreds of millions in attack ads, but none of those will make people like Romney or Kasich or Mandel any better. They can try to drag the Democrats in the muck, but thus far, it hasn't even worked against Sherrod Brown, a freshman senator who is far less defined than the president of the United States of America.
These are not good numbers for Republicans in what is a must-win state for them.
Originally posted to kos on Tue Feb 07, 2012 at 01:06 PM PST.