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Daily Kos-SEIU polling banner

There was a ton of hand-wringing—and uninformed speculation by the Beltway punditry—about what effect Barack Obama's decision to support same-sex marriage would have on the 2012 presidential election. The answer so far?

Public Policy Polling for Daily Kos & SEIU. Registered voters. MoE: ±3.1% (5/3-6 results):

Barack Obama: 48 (48)
Mitt Romney: 46 (45)
Undecided: 6 (7)
In a word: none. It was impossible to miss last week's announcement by the president, so knowledge of his new position is most certainly "baked in" to these results. And all we see is that Obama's standing remains unchanged at 48%, while Romney's ticked up a single point—hardly anything worth writing home about (or even worth writing a blog post about).

There may be subtler effects buried in the cross-tabs, the issue may be felt in down-ballot races in a different way, and who knows—it's even possible things could change over the next few months, though that seems unlikely given Romney's unwillingness to make the president's support of same-sex marriage an issue. And the bottom line is that it isn't going to be one, at least if our polling is anything to go by.

9:47 AM PT: Links to new poll & trendlines fixed.


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Originally posted to Daily Kos Elections on Tue May 15, 2012 at 09:20 AM PDT.

Also republished by Daily Kos.

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