Is Romney down by 9 in Ohio? A few days ago, David Shuster reported:
The Obama campaign, I'm told, did internal polling in Ohio the past two days and found President Obama beating Mitt Romney in the Buckeye State by more than 9 points. For weeks, the Obama campaign has been indicating that Ohio was moving more strongly in their direction. The post-convention bounce Mitt Romney was hoping for didn't materialize nationally, and the GOP convention appears not to have stopped Romney's slide in Ohio.Now, this has been confirmed by the Romney campaign itself.
President Barack Obama heads out of the national political conventions with a much clearer path to winning, top advisers to Mitt Romney privately concede.This differs significantly from the RCP average of Ohio polling, which shows the race within a single point.
Two officials intimately involved in the GOP campaign said Ohio leans clearly in Obama’s favor now, with a high single-digit edge, based on their internal tracking numbers of conservative groups. Romney can still win the presidency if he loses Ohio, but it’s extremely difficult.
However, when you look more closely, you'll notice that (aside from the somewhat unknown Gravis Marketing and a couple of local organizations) there has not been a major poll of Ohio since the middle of last month.
Must-win Ohio being that far out of reach - along with Virgil Goode getting on the ballot in Virginia - is terrible news for Romney with less than two months to go.