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FL +1 Obama 48-47
VA +1 Romney 48-47
OH +6 Obama 51-45
Without Ohio and Wisconsin, almost no path to 270 for Romney!
Tomorrow's Q polls will be interesting. If they are similar, and especially if Wisconsin is polled and comes up +4 or more, the narrative is going to quickly shift to "How can Romney win this?" If Obama's numbers don't collapse from here (and you can make a good argument that this will be his worst week), it is hard to see how Romney can pull it off without Ohio and Wisconsin. With Ohio and Wisc (plus Mich and PA), Obama only needs Nevada or Iowa for 271. Chuck Todd obviously had early access to the data, because he was already starting on that narrative this AM on Morning Joe.