So... This is coming:
A professional meteorologist who posts on one of my favorite weather forums, who has pretty much NEVER said anything like this in his tens of thousands of posts, posted this:
This has the potential to a historic storm for the northeast. Something we'll talk about decades from now (I hope I'll be around decades from now). A very large subtropical storm with hurricane-force wind striking south of Long Island/NHC nearly head-on into the coast would be an extremely rare event. This could set the record for the number of people without power from a single storm. Flooding will be like nothing many have seen in their lifetimes. Very, very bad...http://www.storm2k.org/...
Houston, we have a problem.
First, lets get this out of the way... What are the potential political implications? I can think of two scenarios:
Scenario 1: We are dramatically ahead in Virginia, North Carolina, and Ohio in early voting. If the storm follows the path and makes it hard to vote on election day, we very well may win simply because early voting will make up a larger proportion of the voting totals.
Scenario 2: Democratic strongholds are on the eastern side, the side closest to this storm. Ohio Dem strongholds are east, Virginia and NC strongholds are coastal, Pennsylvania strongholds are east, and New Hampshire may be directly under the gun. GOP gets out better during stormy weather and has more resources to manage to vote. Low SES people, Obama supporters, may be unable to adequately vote on election day. This could result in lower turnout, perhaps even in Pennsylvania, which has no early voting.
Regardless, this is going to be a terrible event... I feel for any caught up in this storm, and wonder if there is any constitutional or historical precedent to potentially having the election date for these states stretched out.
So I leave you with a Poll... what do you think happens?