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It's difficult to see how they are calling this for Romney. A full 25% of the 2008 is in already.
"In the first full week of voting Democrats cast more than 554,500 votes, Republican 298,400, and independents 197,300. Although the overall number of early voters has increased dramatically, Republicans have enjoyed the biggest gains on a percentage basis.
Early Republican voters are up 81 percent from four years ago, state Board of Elections data show. Democratic turnout has increased 32 percent, but on larger totals"
Seems like it is getting harder for the GOP to catch up from here.