If Romney drops to 47.49 percent of the vote, his totals will round to 47 percent, which would be deliciously ironic. And heck, I'd certainly be thankful for that! Well, we're almost there because as of this writing Romney is now at:
The new number is based on the following new results:
This was the big vote dump last night -- about 200,000 new votes from California pushing Romney down 0.02 points, to 47.51.
No matter what, Romney will always have Utah. Not that he'd live there. California it is, even though its taxes are supposedly destroying "job creators" like him!
Lots of new Illinois numbers today.
If Obama is picking up votes in the provisional count of small Ohio counties (most of which Romney won), he'll get monster results when the big urban counties (e.g. Cleveland's Cuyahoga County) report theirs.
New Jersey is still 10.41 percent off its turnout from 2008. Hurricane Sandy obviously had an impact, though how big we won't know until this count is finished.
Will County is the southwestern Chicago suburbs, and includes Joliet.
Jackson County is the home of Carbondale, where famed party school Southern Illinois University is located. Whiteside County, IL is a small county on the Iowa border in northwestern Illinois. Sterling is its largest city.
If 200,000 new votes in California moved the needle 0.02 points, there is a great deal more room for Romney to fall. There are still about 1 million uncounted votes in California (including in Los Angeles County, which was 69-29 Obama on the Election Night count). There are also another million or so uncounted votes in New York.
The question isn't whether Romney will drop below 47.50. That is guaranteed at this point. But whether he'll drop down below 47 percent.
Update: California actually posts estimates of uncounted ballots here. As of this update, there are 1.022 million ballots remaining to be tallied, including 216,000 in Los Angeles County.