OK

This is only a Preview!

You must Publish this diary to make this visible to the public,
or click 'Edit Diary' to make further changes first.

Posting a Diary Entry

Daily Kos welcomes blog articles from readers, known as diaries. The Intro section to a diary should be about three paragraphs long, and is required. The body section is optional, as is the poll, which can have 1 to 15 choices. Descriptive tags are also required to help others find your diary by subject; please don't use "cute" tags.

When you're ready, scroll down below the tags and click Save & Preview. You can edit your diary after it's published by clicking Edit Diary. Polls cannot be edited once they are published.

If this is your first time creating a Diary since the Ajax upgrade, before you enter any text below, please press Ctrl-F5 and then hold down the Shift Key and press your browser's Reload button to refresh its cache with the new script files.

ATTENTION: READ THE RULES.

  1. One diary daily maximum.
  2. Substantive diaries only. If you don't have at least three solid, original paragraphs, you should probably post a comment in an Open Thread.
  3. No repetitive diaries. Take a moment to ensure your topic hasn't been blogged (you can search for Stories and Diaries that already cover this topic), though fresh original analysis is always welcome.
  4. Use the "Body" textbox if your diary entry is longer than three paragraphs.
  5. Any images in your posts must be hosted by an approved image hosting service (one of: imageshack.us, photobucket.com, flickr.com, smugmug.com, allyoucanupload.com, picturetrail.com, mac.com, webshots.com, editgrid.com).
  6. Copying and pasting entire copyrighted works is prohibited. If you do quote something, keep it brief, always provide a link to the original source, and use the <blockquote> tags to clearly identify the quoted material. Violating this rule is grounds for immediate banning.
  7. Be civil. Do not "call out" other users by name in diary titles. Do not use profanity in diary titles. Don't write diaries whose main purpose is to deliberately inflame.
For the complete list of DailyKos diary guidelines, please click here.

Please begin with an informative title:

Unlike in 2000, Democrats currently have an Electoral College advantage, but INOKIYAD. Despite our current advantage, the president should be whoever gets the most votes nationwide.

Nationwide Obama beat Romney by 3.9% or about 5 million votes. Obama's margin of victory was greater than 5% in states with 272 electoral college votes. So Democrats have a small but potentially meaningful advantage in the Electoral College through 2020.

In both Colorado and Pennsylvania, Obama beat Romney by 1.5% more than the popular vote margin of 3.9%. These critical swing states (i.e. the tipping point states in 2012) are democratic-leaning compared to the nation as a whole. So even if Romney had won nationwide by 1% (some 1.3 million voters), he probably still would have lost the election.

Given trends in swing states, it's likely that the Electoral College map will become more and more difficult for Republicans going forward. After the 2012 election, Nate Silver noted that

a large number of electorally critical states – both traditional swing states like Iowa and Pennsylvania and newer ones like Colorado and Nevada – have been Democratic-leaning in the past two elections. If Democrats lose the election in a blowout, they would probably lose these states as well. But in a close election, they are favored in them.
- 538. "As Nation and Parties Change, Republicans Are at an Electoral College Disadvantage," 11/08/2012.
This is why some Republicans are trying to change the Electoral College rules in their Democratic-leaning states. Instead of running with their current scheme, which will lead to chaos and be wildly unpopular with voters, Republican state legislators should join their Democratic counterparts and help create the National Popular Vote.

This can be accomplished without amending the Constitution and abolishing the Electoral College (EC). States, with at least 270 votes in the EC, need to agree to the "National Popular Vote interstate compact" to give their EC votes to the winner of the national popular vote.

This reform is half way to implementation. States with 132 EC votes have already agreed (CA, DC, HI, IL, MD, MA, NJ, VT and WA) and are now waiting on their compatriots.

Intro

You must enter an Intro for your Diary Entry between 300 and 1150 characters long (that's approximately 50-175 words without any html or formatting markup).

5:26 PM PT: That's the last time I post here.


Extended (Optional)

EMAIL TO A FRIEND X
Your Email has been sent.