I know this has made the rounds quite a bit, but I still laugh every time I read it:
Scarborough recalled just how wrong Republicans, and many mainstream pundits, had been about the outcome of the election. He, too, he said, fell for the conventional wisdom in the final weeks, that Mitt Romney was riding a wave of momentum, with his big campaign crowds as ultimate proof. His source for this judgment? “[Uber-pundit] Mark Halperin called me and said, ‘I’ve never seen anything like it!’”If we ever needed more evidence that Halperin is a moron, this removes all doubt. I mean, at the time reporters covering the campaign were reporting things like this:
Throw in Romney's consistent deficits in battleground polling, and it's hard to see how Halperin could've been so gushing. Halperin had really never seen anything like this? Didn't he pay attention to the McCain campaign in 2008?
But this is the right-wing movement we're talking about, so Halperin's fact-bereft deceits didn't stay with him. He shared them with Joe Scarborough, supposed smart conservative. And did Scarborough ask for empirical data to support Halperin's enthusiastic delusions? Of course not! They're conservatives! Facts are too liberal.
So instead, Scarborough parroted Halperin's predictions that Romney would win based on Halperin's shitty and selective memory of what he'd seen. And it wasn't just him, but the entire conservative movement. And remember, they weren't echoing a guy with a track record of being right, but one who has consistently proven to be full of shit. I mean, remember when he argued that McCain's "I don't know how many houses I own" gaffe was a bad thing for Obama campaign?
The non-white share of the electorate will grow by two points in 2016. Obama won in 2012 by 3.9 points. Toggle the numbers to reflect the expected 2016 electorate, and Obama would've won by 5.2 points. The median age of U.S.-born Latinos is 18. Every month, 67,000 Latinos turn 18, while 100,000 white and predominantly conservative Americans die. Young Americans are the most tolerant in history, and have punished the bigots and haters in the GOP with just 37 percent of their vote.
Those are undisputed numbers. Republicans can win if Democrats don't turn out, like 2010. They can win if they gerrymander themselves a plethora of safe seats in the House. But that's about it. The demographic numbers are brutal.
Yet they continue to ignore that reality, convinced that true ideological purity (ridding the GOP of fake conservatives like Antonin Scalia) will bail them out.
And that's the only explanation for their intransigence on immigration. As I wrote yesterday, the GOP is screwed in the short term. They've made their bed, now they have to lie in it.
The only question left is whether they continue sticking their heads in the sand and ignore reality, because their gut tells them something, or begin the process of reforming so that they have a prayer of competing in the mid- to long-term.
You can lend your voice to this debate by signing this Daily Kos/Worker's Voice petition thanking President Barack Obama for his call for comprehensive reform.